Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh, wounded in an attack on his palace, flew to Saudi Arabia for surgery on Sunday and Yemenis seeking his ouster celebrated what they saw as the end of his 33-year rule. A Yemeni ruling party official said Saleh would return to the country within days, but with a p
ower struggle already underway and fresh fighting with a major tribal federation, the risk of further turmoil remained high.
ower struggle already underway and fresh fighting with a major tribal federation, the risk of further turmoil remained high.
A medical source in Saudi Arabia told Reuters Saleh was undergoing surgery on Sunday to remove shrapnel from his chest, but had no updates on Saleh's condition.
"People are worried about what will happen after Saleh's departure. They're most worried about a military coup or struggles for power within the army," Farouq Abdel Salam, a resident in the southern port city of Aden, said.
Concerns are mounting that Yemen, already on the brink of financial ruin and home to al Qaeda militants, could become a failed state that poses a threat to the world's top oil exporting region and to global security.
Saleh has exasperated his former U.S. and Saudi allies, who once saw him as a key partner in efforts to combat Yemen-based al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, by repeatedly reneging on a Gulf-brokered deal for him to quit in return for immunity.
"I think this is just about the end of his match," Khalid al-Dakhil, a Saudi political analyst, said. "The Saudis are not going to bargain with him."
Youths sang patriotic songs and danced in a Sanaa square to celebrate what they saw as Saleh's permanent departure from Yemen, the Arab world's poorest country.
Anti-Saleh protesters held signs reading: "Yemen is more beautiful without you," and "Name: A free Yemeni. Date of Birth: June 4, 2011. Place of birth: Change Square."
"Our happiness will be complete once we're sure that Saleh won't come back," a resident at a local cafe said.
But gunfire rang out in another part of the capital, serving as reminder of the past two weeks of fighting between Saleh's forces and the Hashed tribe led by Sadeq al-Ahmar.
That fighting, which has killed more 200 people, was the bloodiest since protests broke out in January, inspired by revolts in Tunisia and Egypt.
In the southern city of Taiz, thousands of people celebrated Saleh's trip to Saudi Arabia with a fireworks display, but Al Jazeera reported several people were wounded in heavy gunfire.
SAUDI INFLUENCE
Leaving Yemen at a time of such instability, even for medical care, could make it hard for Saleh to retain power.
"I think this is the end of Saleh's reign," said Ghanem Nuseibeh, founder of Cornerstone Global Associates and senior analyst at Political Capital.
"There is a short window of opportunity for Saudi, the Gulf Cooperation Council and the West to salvage whatever they can in Yemen, and they need to act fast. We are entering a post-Saleh Yemen, which Saudi Arabia and the West may not be necessarily prepared for."
The world's largest oil exporter, Saudi Arabia, which shares a 1,500-km (950-mile) border with Yemen, has led efforts to negotiate a peaceful handover to fractious opposition groups.
But the true seat of power, following Saleh's departure, has yet to be decided. Saleh's eldest son, Ahmed, commands the elite Republican Guard and three of his nephews control the country's security and intelligence units. Saleh has, however, lost the support of a powerful general, Ali Mohsen, who has sided with protesters and called the president a "madman".
Washington has called on Saleh to quit and the White House said Barack Obama's top counter-terrorism aide spoke on Saturday to the Yemeni vice president, who is the acting leader.
Acting President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi, seen as by analysts as having little power, has met military commanders, including Saleh's sons and nephews. Hadi also met the U.S. ambassador.
The attack on Saleh's palace killed seven and shook the whole government. The prime minister, two deputy prime ministers and the speakers of both parliamentary chambers are also being treated in Saudi Arabia.
Yemen's military blamed al Qaeda for the attack, but diplomats and analysts have accused the Saleh government of exaggerating the al Qaeda threat in Yemen to win global support.
"Saleh leaving the country at this time carries heavy political symbolism," said Eurasia Group analyst James Fallon. "This will be read by many circles in Yemen as the end of Saleh's presidency."
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